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State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #490 Lex Fridman Podcast
5h

State of AI in 2026: LLMs, Coding, Scaling Laws, China, Agents, GPUs, AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #490

Sebastian Raschka, Nathan Lambert · 《Build a Large Language Model (From Scratch)》作者 + AI2 研究员 / RLHF 书作者

Lex Fridman 请来两位"一线做过模型、也写过书"的研究者做 2026 年初的 AI state-of-the-art 盘点: Sebastian Raschka 从 GPT-2 一路手撕到 Qwen3 / Gemma 3, 最擅长从架构里读故事;Nathan Lambert 是 AI2 研究员、RLHF 书作者、atom 项目 发起人,frontier 与 open-source 两边都站过。两人聊了 DeepSeek 时刻、Opus 4.5 神话、RLVR 的"假 aha"、scaling 的三个轴、AI 2027 的时间线推后、Anthropic $1.5B 和解、CUDA 的真护城河、atom project,一直到 100 年后世界的样子。

#ai-research #coding-agents #hardware #chips
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Terence Tao – How the world's top mathematician uses AI Dwarkesh Podcast
75

Terence Tao – How the world's top mathematician uses AI

Terence Tao · UCLA mathematician, Fields Medalist

当世最强的数学家谈他亲手用过 AI 之后的判断：想法生成的成本几乎归零， 但瓶颈搬到了 verification 这一侧；50 道 Erdős 问题被 AI 攻克之后随即陷入瓶颈； AI 像在黑暗中乱跳的机器人，能跨过低墙、爬不上悬崖；breadth × depth 才是 数学的下一步——但要先重设整个学术工作流。

#ai-research #interview #researcher #deep-dive
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Elon Musk – "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space" Dwarkesh Podcast
~3h

Elon Musk – "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space"

Elon Musk · CEO of Tesla, SpaceX, xAI

Elon Musk 与 Dwarkesh Patel 长达 3 小时的深度对谈，涵盖太空 AI 数据中心（36 个月内最经济）、 Starship 每小时一次发射、月球质量驱动器、Terafab 自建芯片厂、Optimus 机器人的递归指数增长、 中美制造业竞争，以及 xAI "understand the universe" 使命与 AI 安全。

#hardware #chips #robotics #ai-research
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Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential" Dwarkesh Podcast
~2h

Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"

Dario Amodei · Anthropic CEO

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 三年后再度做客 Dwarkesh Podcast，深度解析他为何认为 我们正接近 AI 指数增长的终点。从 2017 年的 Big Blob of Compute 假说到 country of geniuses in a data center 的 1-3 年预测，从 Anthropic 10x 年增长到算力采购的 生死赌局，从 AI 宪法的三层治理到独裁体制道德过时论。

#ai-research #ai-safety #ai-products #startup
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Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future of Humans & AI Lex Fridman Podcast
5h

Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future of Humans & AI

Dario Amodei, Amanda Askell, Chris Olah · Anthropic CEO + Character lead + Interpretability co-founder

Lex Fridman 与 Anthropic 的三位核心人物同场对谈: CEO Dario Amodei 讲 scaling 假设、RSP 的 if-then 结构、"race to the top" 战略与 Machines of Loving Grace; character lead Amanda Askell 讲 Claude 的性格工程、sycophancy 与最优失败率; interpretability 共同创始人 Chris Olah 讲 features、circuits、superposition 和那个著名的 deception feature。三人从战略、产品、研究三个层面拼出 Anthropic 对 "AI inside" 的完整 stereo view。

#ai-safety #ai-research #interpretability #interview
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Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than us Dwarkesh Podcast
7383

Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than us

Michael Nielsen · Research fellow, writer, quantum computing pioneer

Michael Nielsen and Dwarkesh Patel explore how scientific progress actually happens — from the messy reality of falsification to hostile verification loops that mislead for decades. They discuss why the tech tree is far vaster than we realize, why alien civilizations would develop radically different technologies, and what this means for AI-accelerated science.

#ai-research #deep-dive #interview #researcher
查看 slides → YouTube ↗